By Jim Garamone DoD News, Defense Media Activity
WASHINGTON, March 7, 2018 — The chairman of NATO’s Military
Committee would like to see the NATO-Russia Council reinvigorated to address
issues pending between the two entities.
Gen. Petr Pavel of the Czech army said Russia must show
through actions, not just words, that it is ready for such a development. The
general spoke to the Defense Writers Group this morning at George Washington
University here.
Pavel said he believes there is a chance for improved
relations between the alliance and Russia. “I am always a cautious optimist,”
he told the writers. “I believe that there is a chance to have better relations
between NATO and Russia, but what we need is more willingness on the Russian
side that would assure the alliance that Russia has serious interest in making
this relationship better.”
Russia must take steps, in other words, to prove it is
serious, and the general said he will not ignore past bad behavior. “It is
difficult to sit at the table knowing there are occupied territories in
Georgia, that there is direct Russian support to separatists in [Ukraine’s
Dombass region], that there is the Crimea that was occupied illegally,” he
said. “There are a number of not only concrete measures, but also narratives
that are creating tensions. We need to have more common will to engage in a
constructive dialogue.”
The best place to start would be in Ukraine, Pavel said.
“Until there is a solution in Ukraine, there will not be an improvement in
relations,” he added. One step in the right direction would be for Russia to
allow United Nations or Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe
missions into the contested region. “That would be a clear sign of a
constructive approach,” the general said. “At that point, we can start thinking
about other steps to improve coordination and dialogue.”
Russian Military Doctrine
There are no hard-and-fast lines between peace and war in
Russian military doctrine -- it is a spectrum, the general said, adding that
the Russian government views its actions against neighbors such as Georgia and
Ukraine as the low end of continuous conflict.
What NATO calls “hybrid war” or some observers call the
“Gerasimov Doctrine” – after Gen. Pavel Gerasimov, Russia’s chief of defense –
is the use of information operations, troop movements, propaganda, economic
moves and diplomacy to gain Russian President Vladimir Putin’s objectives. It
is a “way to influence development in a number of countries,” Pavel said. “This
is a new reality we have to learn from and adjust to. Russia is using
opportunities provided by new technologies and some gaps in international norms
to its benefit.”
Pavel said he would like to see some sort of agreement to
define the rules of behavior in cyberspace. “It’s a big question today how we
will address it, how we will create a similar regulatory framework as in the
conventional or nuclear -- the same framework has to be developed in cyber,” he
said. “We will have to work on this issue not only with Russia, but with other
big actors like China.”
The NATO-Russia Council had three meeting last year, and
another will be scheduled after Russia’s March 18 elections, Pavel said.
Scheduling a meeting is a problem, he noted, as Russia has neither an
ambassador nor a senior military representative to NATO.
Military-to-military contacts are important, Pavel said, but
Moscow cancelled a scheduled meeting between U.S. Army Gen. Curtis M.
Scaparrotti, NATO’s supreme allied commander for Europe, and Gerasimov. Pavel
said he would like to continue his and Scaparrotti’s military-to-military
contacts with the Russian military leader. “Both these channels are important
and can bring a substantial level of detail to the NATO-Russia Council,” he
added.
Moving the Dialogue Forward
“We need probably more impulse to move the dialogue
forward,” Pavel said. “Up to now, the standard agenda is quite vague. We need
to get more into substance to move ahead, including the issues that we call
hybrid, which is a quite broad area. Cyber and other issues must be addressed.”
The standard agenda for the council is limited to Ukraine,
risk reduction and transparency, the general told the writers. “I believe we
will have to go a little bit more into the depth, because without addressing
concrete measures, concrete numbers, concrete actions, it is difficult to
proceed,” he said. “I think we need the will on both sides to move ahead with
the agenda to set up progress.”
Putin’s March 1 speech was not so much on the state of the
country, but an address on the state of the military, Pavel said. The speech
“also illustrates the need for extensive dialogue with Russia on disarmament,
especially in the nuclear arena,” he added.
“All these developments may turn dangerous if they are not
handled carefully from the very beginning,” he said.
Increased Concerns
The Russian military buildup and modernization leads to
increased concerns and fear in the population in the Baltic republics, Pavel
said. “That’s why NATO created the enhanced forward presence with rotational
battle groups to demonstrate NATO resolve to act if necessary,” he said. “We
are doing the best to keep the level of this military presence below being
threatening to Russia -- we didn’t want to bring any competition to bring more
forces to the region.
“We wanted to demonstrate at a very proportionate level that
most of NATO allies are present and the commitment to Article 5 is solid, he
continued. “All NATO allies will act if there is a violation of the NATO
treaty.”
Article 5 of the Washington Treaty, which established the
NATO alliance, addresses the principle of collective defense, with an attack
against one ally considered as an attack on all allies.
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